MEMORANDUM FOR DISTRIBUTION
||Implementation Guidance and Methodology for
Naval Probability of Program Success (PoPS)|
||PDASN Memo "DON Decision to Utilize
Probability of Program Success (PoPS) approach to Assess Program Health
During Gate Reviews" of 19 January 2008|
||PDASN Memo "DON Interim Guidance for
Probability of Program Success (PoPS) Implementation" of 19 January
||SECNAV NOTICE 5000 of 26 February
||SECNAV INSTRUCTION 5000.2C of 19 November
||DoD Directive 5000.01 of 12 May 2003|
||DoD Instruction 5000.2 of 12 May 2003|
||CJCS Instruction 3170.01F of 1 May
In furtherance of the decision in reference (a), this memorandum cancels
and supersedes reference (b) and forwards attachments (1) through (3) and
their associated tools as the new Naval PoPS methodology for conducting
program Health Assessments.
Attachments (1) Naval PoPS Guidebook v1.0, (2) Naval PoPS Criteria Handbook
v1.0 and (3) Naval PoPS Visuals Handbook v1.0 are effective upon receipt for
all DON pre Major Defense Acquisition Program (MDAP) programs, all MDAP
Acquisition Category (ACAT) I and selected ACAT II programs, all pre Major
Automated Information System (MAIS) programs and all MAIS ACAT 1A programs. In
addition, the attachments and associated tools shall serve as the standard DON
method of representing the health of a program and be:
- Applicable to all remaining DON ACAT programs and any other program
subject to the DON acquisition process.
- Used in a continuous manner any time the health of a program is
discussed in the formal decisional meetings identified in references (d)
through (g), and the variety of other progress reviews, across the
spectrum of interested parties including MDAs, PEOs, DASNs, Resource and
Requirements Officers, OSD and Congressional Staff.
- Used by any other resourcing or requirements decision assessment
tools needing program health input.
For programs desiring to ease the transition to this guidance,
an optional grace period will exist until November 30, 2008 during which
Interim PoPS may still be used. After this date use of attachments (1) through
(3) and their associated tools is mandatory for effected programs.
Significant differences exist between this guidance and the interim
guidance it replaces. These differences are aimed at increasing accuracy,
reducing subjectivity and easing health assessment comparisons across all
systems for all levels of decision makers. In addition, and importantly, the
holistic application of this program health guidance as recommended above; and
key implementation aspects like the user friendly criteria spread sheet with
imbedded scoring algorithms and the standardized briefing visualizations, are
aimed directly at reducing the workload on Program Managers and staffs.
Comments and lessons learned are encouraged and should be provided to RDA
CHSENG for consolidation. The next update will include a focused review of
sustainment and life cycle performance parameters. This feedback will be
incorporated in to a planned revision; and with the ongoing work of the extant
IM IPT that is exploring the enterprise requirements for web enabled automated
exporting of PoPS data via the RDA DASHBOARD into a variety of existing tools
and processes requiring program health data.
The attachments will remain in effect until superseded. Copies of this
guidance and related supporting material can be found and downloaded from the
RDA DASHBOARD at http://acquisition.navy.mil/content/view/full/4599