Baselining Acquisition Reform
. The methodology used in this research can be one method used to evaluate
the effectiveness of the AR initiative. The process would consist of three
steps. First, select the date that AR first was effective in the field, and
measure the cost, schedule and performance success levels of DoD acquisition
at that time. Second, over a period of time introduce the AR improvements/
changes into the DoD acquisition system. And finally, at some appropriate
later time remeasure the cost, schedule and performance success of the then
DoD acquisition system.
The first step has
already been accomplished and is completely detailed in an Acquisition
Review Quarterly article approved for publication around January 2000.
That article suggests that the date AR was first effective "in the workplace"
was July, 1996, and at that time the DoD acquisition system, over the prior
four years, had an average cost overrun of 46 percent and an average schedule
overrun of 81 percent. Using this research success ratings of 5 down to 1, and
showing percent equivalents we have the pre-AR baseline:
Success Rating and Percent Equivalent
3.5 (70 percent)
2.1 (41 percent)
3.8 (76 percent)
In creating the
database, it became clear that its usefulness in analyzing programs required
that other parameters beyond cost, schedule and performance would be
desirable. To identify what characteristics correlated with success in EMD, or
with failure, possible causes had to be included in the collected data. In
particular, six programmatics were included.